Women’s Education: Harbinger of Another Spring?

By Mehmet Alper Dinçer (Education Reform Initiative, Sabanci University), Neeraj Kaushal (Columbia University and National Bureau of Economic Research) and Michael Grossman (City University of New York Graduate Center and National Bureau of Economic Research)

http://econpapers.repec.org/paper/nbrnberwo/19597.htm

Policy Brief:

Economists argue that more educated individuals are more efficient producers of health and more educated parents are more efficient in producing healthy children.  Knowledge helps parents make informed decisions on their children’s nutrition and healthcare. It influences health-related behaviors (such as smoking, drug abuse, binge drinking) and lifestyles (e.g. physical exercise), and parents’, in particular mother’s, health behavior and lifestyle impact child health (e.g. birth weight). Parental education is also the most basic component of socio-economic status, which according to epidemiologists is the key determinant of own and child health (Adler & Newman, 2002). Further, education may affect attitudes towards gender equality empowering women (Mocan & Cannonier, 2012). Because mothers are often the primary caregiver for infants and young children, their empowerment is likely to channel family resources towards mother- and child-wellbeing.

Economists, however, also quibble over empirical evidence to support these hypotheses. Because genetic endowments are a key determinant of a child’s health, it is challenging to provide convincing evidence that the simple association (correlation) between parental education and child health, documented in many studies, implies causality: that parental education improves child health. Arguably, heritable ability may result in more able women seeking higher education and having more able children who have better health (Behrman & Rosenzweig, 2002). Further, future orientation may cause mothers to acquire more education and invest in their children’s health (Fuchs, 1982). Similarly, establishing causality between mother’s education and early marriage, early child-bearing, and fertility outcomes is a challenge because low level of empowerment and high dependency may result in women marrying early and having children thus forgoing education. This is an important issue in many Middle Eastern countries where marriage and child bearing in adolescence are high. For instance, according to the Turkey Demographic Health Survey 2008, approximately 17% of ever-married women aged 20-45 in Turkey are married before the age of 16 and 13% have a child before they turn 17.

In a recent study, we used a “natural experiment” in Turkey to study the causal effect of education on women’s fertility, empowerment, and their children’s health (Dinçer, Kaushal, and Grossman, 2013). In 1997, Turkey passed the Compulsory Education Law that increased compulsory formal schooling from five to eight years. Individuals born after 1985 (who were 11 or less in 1997) were the target of the law.  To accommodate the expected increase in enrollment, the government devoted additional resources on school infrastructure and in hiring new teachers and these investments varied across the sub-regions of Turkey. In our experiment, we formed a treatment group of women who were born between 1986 and 1990 and were affected by the legislation and a corresponding comparison group of women who were born between 1979 and 1985 and were not affected.  We took advantage of variations across cohorts in the number of primary school teachers in the sub-region of residence at age 11 to construct an “instrument” that we applied to predict the educational attainment of young women resulting from the Compulsory Education Law. The predicted education variable, which is independent of heritable traits and a future orientation, is then used to estimate the effect of education on a variety of outcomes experienced by the treatment group of women and their offspring from information obtained when the treatment cohort was between the ages of 18 and 22 and the comparison cohort was between the ages of 23 and 29.

We find that a 10 percentage point increase in the proportion of ever married women with eight years of schooling lowered the number of pregnancies per ever-married woman by approximately 0.13 and the number of children born by 0.11. There is also some evidence of a decline in child mortality caused by mother’s education. Further, our analysis shows that a 10 percentage-points increase in the proportion with eight years of schooling raised the proportion of women using modern family planning methods by eight to nine percent and the proportion of women with knowledge of their ovulation cycle by five to seven percent.  However, we find little evidence that schooling changed women’s attitudes towards gender equality.

From this we infer that the decline in fertility and child mortality (in some models) that we observe could not be on account of changes in women’s attitudes towards gender inequality resulting from increased education. It is more likely that the decline in fertility and child mortality that we observe are on account increases in age at first marriage, age at first childbirth or increased use of contraceptive methods and improvements in women’s understanding of their ovulation cycle. It might be that attitudes are slow to change and that the content of education in classrooms is an important factor when it comes to changing attitudes.

References

Adler, Nancy E., and Katherine Newman. 2002. “Socioeconomic Disparities in Health: Pathways         and Policies.” Health Affairs, 21(2), 60-76.

Behrman, Jere R., and Mark R. Rosenzweig. 2002. “Does Increasing Women’s Schooling Raise            the Schooling of the Next Generation?” American Economic Review, 92 (1),323-334.

Dincer, Mehmet Alper, Kaushal, Neeraj, & Grossman, Michael. 2013. “Women’s Education:      Harbinger of Another Spring? Evidence from a Natural Experiment in Turkey.” NBER Working Paper No. 19597.

Fuchs, Victor R. 1982. “Time Preference and Health: An Exploratory Study.” In Economic       Aspects of Health, ed. by V.R. Fuchs. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 93-120.

Mocan, Naci H., and Colin Cannonier. 2012. “Empowering Women Through Education:           Evidence from Sierra Leone.” NBER Working Paper 18016.

Graph1

Figure 1: Gross enrollment rate in grades 6-8 (number of students enrolled in grades 6-8 divided by population of children aged 11-13)

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